The Modernized Policy Memo.

A simple technological intervention designed to transform U.S. foreign policy.


Upgrading an outdated policy process.

The policy memo sits at the heart of decision-making at State. So why hasn’t it meaningfully evolved in decades?

No standards for evidence and analysis.

There are no tradecraft standards for evidence use or intelligence analysis, leading to ad hoc and risk-averse decisions.

Lack of monitoring and accountability.

Once a policy is adopted, it’s lost to the archives. There’s no way to evaluate, compare, and improve policies over time.

Inability to retrieve past knowledge.

Analysts have to reinvent the wheel and rebuild existing knowledge in each iteration of the policy process.


Designing a modern policy memo.

A policymaking platform with a smart, data-driven backend. Creating evidence-based policy has never been easier.

Harness the power of data science.

The typical policy memo comprises a few recurring, functional parts –– proposals, assessments, and evidence.

Reimagine the policy memo as a living document that systematically and intelligently extracts, stores, and applies these functional parts as data.

Locate, retrieve, and build on existing knowledge.

Work on a dynamic platform that ensures policy decisions quickly react to changes on the ground, and decisions are monitored and evaluated across time and space.

Leverage evidence to create more powerful, impactful evidence-based policies.

Step into the Situation Room.

Take the Bayes Brief out for a test drive. What’s the best course of action to address China/Taiwan relations?

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Go behind the scenes.

How does the Bayes Brief store and organize knowledge? Visualize and interact with the database and network in the backend.

The Bayes Brief is an fp21.lab product created by Alex Bollfrass and Ellice Huang.